Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.007709 0.009030 0.010608 0.012659 0.015299 0.018645 0.023315
2025-07-13 0.006267 0.007939 0.010175 0.013496 0.018515 0.026219 0.039886
2025-07-20 0.005370 0.007152 0.009723 0.013917 0.021070 0.033921 0.062393
2025-07-27 0.004688 0.006472 0.009192 0.013953 0.022905 0.041331 0.091914
2025-08-03 0.004199 0.005968 0.008789 0.014037 0.024797 0.050000 0.136889
2025-08-10 0.003733 0.005417 0.008192 0.013595 0.025445 0.056316 0.187479
2025-08-17 0.003309 0.004874 0.007515 0.012833 0.025107 0.059911 0.237554
2025-08-24 0.002983 0.004453 0.006987 0.012248 0.024985 0.064212 0.307858
2025-08-31 0.002820 0.004287 0.006890 0.012527 0.027141 0.078081 0.520672
2025-09-07 0.002607 0.004009 0.006545 0.012195 0.027540 0.086020 0.758831
2025-09-14 0.002404 0.003730 0.006165 0.011711 0.027345 0.091523 1.055985
2025-09-21 0.002276 0.003573 0.006001 0.011697 0.028599 0.105747 1.928328
2025-09-28 0.002179 0.003477 0.005974 0.012080 0.031604 0.136760 6.727712
2025-10-05 0.002122 0.003451 0.006091 0.012881 0.036719 0.198100 206.186442
2025-10-12 0.002037 0.003361 0.006057 0.013276 0.040671 0.269693 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001934 0.003227 0.005908 0.013311 0.043189 0.343506 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001845 0.003110 0.005783 0.013389 0.046071 0.449367 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001734 0.002940 0.005515 0.012975 0.046243 0.514930 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001615 0.002746 0.005172 0.012260 0.044437 0.528924 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001515 0.002586 0.004895 0.011710 0.043339 0.561890 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001470 0.002534 0.004869 0.011972 0.047216 0.812731 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001398 0.002420 0.004682 0.011660 0.047400 0.947331 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001323 0.002297 0.004464 0.011205 0.046424 1.024634 NaN